My numbers have been incorrect with regard to US Eastern Daylight Time (EDT). I hate this changing of the clocks stupidity! For regular, good old TIME on the US East Coast (EST), UTC, or "zulu" time is 5 hours later. Or the other way around, 0800 UTC is the same instant as 0300 EST. But when we "spring forward", so the halt and lame won't miss the sunshine, 0800 UTC is the same instant as 0400 E
DT. So, I screwed it up with the space debris, not that it's going to hit the eastern US anyway. Thus endeth my rant.
The train schedule says it will begin to burn up at 0030 UDT plus or minus something. That turns out to be, now that my eyes have been opened, 8:30 pm (EDT) on the East Coast. So that's about 1 hour from now (plus or minus something).
The orbit takes about 90 minutes. But once the altitude hits below 100 km (~62 miles), then it will burn and crash. Given the time prediction, we're already into the final orbit. The altitude is already below 120 km, and decreasing.
If it is delayed, then it has a chance on landing on Damascus, Syria.
Bob